Predict medical services

SNU project

Predict Demand and Supply of medical services

This project was done by medical college, Seoul National University, Especially Dr. Hong. All rights reserved.

  • To be prepared for the next 60 years, we need to predict demand and supply of the medical services by various scinarios.
  • The scinarios are divided by the birth rate simulation done by Korean govornmnet, (Statistics Korea)[http://kostat.go.kr/portal/eng/index.action]
  • I used the past medical demand per capita with different age to predict the demand.
  • Also I predict the supply of medical services by predicting the number of admitted medical students annually.
  • Instead of using machine learning of AI, I used basic statistical method, since the data is accumulated by annually for few years.
Estimated total demand of medical services assuming the present condition is hold.
Difference between estimated total supply and estimated total demand of medical services assuming the present condition is hold.
Regional distribution of total medical services for 2018
Estimated regional distribution of total medical services for 2047 assuming the present condition is hold.
Estimated regional distribution of total medical services for 2047 assuming the supply of medical services increase.